Gwdihw Racing

If you just want a link to the channel, click here .  INTRODUCTION System bets are where you create a number of rules which generate qualifiers which you then back blindly (i.e. back independent of any race reading or individual opinion about the horse in that race).  The joy of system betting is that if it works, you get a regular profit without having to spend hours scouring the form book. The tricky bit is making it work... System betting is as old as the hills, either as a serious pursuit or as a bit of fun. I remember as a child that my Gran used to back any horse where the second and penultimate letter were the same. My Uncle backed any horse with King in the title.  AN IDEA Thankfully, my Gran and Uncle weren't betting more than pennies on those selections. Away from silly systems like that, systems can be ground in any logic or idea. The idea could be that an excellent conditional jockey seems to be going unnoticed and you'll back them until everyone else realises...

If you follow me on Twitter , you'll know that I produce ratings for National Hunt handicaps. Ratings are essentially a tool to bring a series of data points together to give a sense of a horse's ability. Some people use a range of factors and try and produce one overall figure for a horse. I adopt a slightly broader approach, which shows the key factors I think that it's possible to highlight to my understanding a race. The ratings begin with a baseline figure: this is my estimated rating of the horse's best performance in the last few months. If a horse hasn't run in the last few months, it doesn't get a rating and therefore doesn't feature. This figure is adjusted for the weight the horse carries in today's race (excluding any claim a jockey might have). You can see an example below from the recent Betfair Hurdle at Newbury. After the baseline figure, I assess the extent to which today's conditions might suit the horse based on past performance. A...